Intelligence Analysis and Methodology
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by Richard J. Heuer, Jr.
Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by Richard J. Heuer, Jr. PDF [epub] provides insight for intelligence analysts, practitioners and academics to improve analysis at large.
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases by Amos Tversky; Daniel Kahneman
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases helps analysts to take into account biases in judgements especially when evaluating uncertainty.